Some interesting information from the Football Outsiders broke today, by way of ESPN:
…yards per carry — which indicates first-year success for lesser-known (third-round or lower, or undrafted) rookie running backs. If you want to be ahead of the pack on the next Ahmad Bradshaw or Pierre Thomas, YPC over the average seems to be a good way to go.
So perhaps the pre-season really can tell us something about the regular season. I’ll have my eye on this for sure. And since YPC may be a good indicator of personal success, I wonder if YPC will be a good indicator of team success. Let’s take a look at how teams have done thus far:
| TEAM | YPC | RANK |
| Chicago Bears | 6.0 | 22 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 5.6 | 4 |
| Washington Redskins | 5.0 | 21 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4.2 | 6 |
| New England Patriots | 3.9 | 7 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3.7 | 17 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 3.3 | 18 |
| New York Giants | 3.3 | 20 |
| New York Jets | 3.1 | 32 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2.8 | 9 |
| Detroit Lions | 2.4 | 11 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 1.7 | 25 |
So we see that, well…the correlation between YPC and Pre-Season Rank is -0.2, so we’ll have to wait and see if anything materializes for us. I’ll keep things updated.
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